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Renda Fixa Ainda Vale a Pena com a Selic em Alta?

Is Fixed Income Still Worth It With the Selic Rising? Discover risks, gains, and simple strategies to protect your money as the rate increases.

Is fixed income still worth it with the Selic rate rising

Here you can find out in practical terms how the Selic impacts your income. Understand why bonds linked to Selic pay more, how to check if your earnings cover the inflation and where to apply it: Selic Treasury, CDB, LCI/LCA e funds.

Learn to evaluate liquidity, deadline, duration and using laddering to protect your purchasing power.

Main conclusions

  • Selic tends to increase nominal interest rates.
  • Titles post-fixed follow the Selic; Fixed-rate bonds suffer from the rise.
  • Check the real income (discounting inflation, taxes and fees).
  • Diversify between Treasury, CDB, LCI/LCA and funds.
  • Review objectives and deadlines before deciding.

Fixed Income Simulator

Compare CDB, LCI, LCA, Tesouro Direto e Poupança em segundos

Preencha os campos abaixo com o valor que pretende investir, o prazo e o produto desejado — depois clique em Simular agora para ver o resultado completo com gráfico e comparativo.

CDI / Seliccarregando...
IPCA (12m)carregando...
Savingscarregando...
R$
R$
% CDI
CDB: incide Regressive income tax (22,5% até 180 dias → 15% acima de 720 dias) e IOF nos primeiros 30 dias.
% CDI
LCI/LCA são isentas de IR para pessoa física — ótimas para médio e longo prazo.
% a.a.
Tesouro: incide IR regressivo + taxa de custódia B3 de 0,20% a.a. (já incluída na simulação).
Com Selic acima de 8,5% a.a.: rende 0,5% ao mês + TR. Com Selic ≤ 8,5%: rende 70% da Selic + TR. Isenta de IR.
Como usar: preencha o valor que pretende investir, defina o prazo e escolha o tipo de investimento nas abas acima — depois clique em Simular agora para ver o resultado completo com gráfico e comparativo.

Is Fixed Income Still Worth It with the Selic on the Rise? - How the high Selic affects your income

When the Selic rises, bonds post-fixed (which follow the rate) become more attractive: the yield tends to rise automatically.

Titles prefixed do not change the contracted rate; with a high Selic rate, the market price of these bonds falls. To understand the rate better, see What is the Selic rate?.

Short example:

Type of titleLinkWhat changes if the Selic rate rises
Selic TreasurySelicIncome rises automatically
Post-fixed CDBCDI (close to Selic)Bank pays more interest in coming periods
Fixed-rate TreasuryFixedNo change; price falls if Selic rises

If you need liquidity and lower risk, prefer bonds linked to the Selic in periods of high rates. To better understand how the Treasury works and the Treasury Direct options, take a look at this detailed guide on Treasury Direct and the specific material on Selic Treasury.

Nominal interest vs. real income: how to calculate if you gain purchasing power

A Selic impacts the nominal interest you see. What matters is real income - what's left after the inflation. Learn How inflation is measured in Brazil.

Practical formula:

  • Gross income (e.g. 10% p.a.)
  • Minus inflation (e.g. 4% p.a.) → Approximate real yield = 10% - 4% = 6%
  • Less taxes → Final net income

Example with costs:

StepValue
Gross income10%
Less inflation-4%
Before costs6%
Less IR and taxes (e.g. 1.5%)4.5% net income

If the result is negative, you lose purchasing power even with high nominal interest rates. To better understand how to protect your assets from rising prices, see the content on inflation and money protection. To learn how to make interest work in your favor, see this material on interest and strategies.

Nominal interest vs. real income: how to calculate if you gain purchasing power
Photo by stevepb on Pixabay

Where to invest with a high Selic: Selic Treasury, CDB, LCI/LCA and funds

Selic Treasury - liquidity, security and behavior with a high Selic rate

  • You pay a rate close to Selic; rises when the Selic rises.
  • High liquidityredemption in working days.
  • Low risk: guaranteed by the government.
  • Suitable for emergency reserve.

Consult Official information about Tesouro Direto.

If you're looking for practical advice on how to build up an emergency reserve and where to store it, check out the guides on emergency reserve e where to store the reservation.

CDB, LCI and LCA - profitability, taxation and term

  • CDB usually follow the CDI (close to the Selic rate). Smaller banks can pay more, but with more risk. Protecting FGC up to the limit (FGC protection for deposits and CDB).
  • LCI/LCA: exempt from IR for individuals - net advantage. They have shorter terms and less liquidity.
  • Choose according to liquidity needs and tax benefits.

To compare options and understand where to allocate your money now, check out the analysis on where to put your money and the recommendations of where to invest in 2025. If you want to consider alternatives to fixed income see also the content on debentures.

Comparative summary:

ProductLiquiditySecurityTaxationSuitable for
Selic TreasuryHighGovernmentRegressive income taxEmergency reserve
CDBVariableFGCRegressive income taxBest rate
LCI / LCALow/mediumFGCExempt from income taxWho seeks exemption
RF FundsAverageVariesIR ratesWho wants management

Fixed income funds vs. direct bonds

  • Funds offer management and practicality, but have fees that erode earnings. See the Guidelines on funds and costs.
  • Direct bonds (Treasury, CDB, LCI/LCA) are usually cheaper and more transparent.
  • Use funds if you want to delegate decisions; prefer direct bonds to control costs.

If you're just starting out and want a step-by-step overview, the guides for beginners explain the differences between investing directly and via funds: Guide for beginners e Finance for beginners.

Practical strategies with a high Selic: laddering, deadlines and duration management

The short answer: yes, However, fixed income is still worthwhile with a high Selic rate - especially if you prioritize liquidity and real income.

Laddering reduces timing risk: buy bonds with varying maturities to have money maturing regularly and reinvest at current rates.

Suggestion by deadline:

  • Short term (0-1 year): Selic Treasury or CDB with daily liquidity.
  • Medium-term (1-5 years): Fixed-rate CDB or bonds linked to the IPCA.
  • Long term (5 years): IPCA Treasury or fixed-rate bonds with attractive real interest rates.

Ladder example:

DeadlineObjectiveSuggested product
0-1 yearLiquiditySelic Treasury / CDB daily liquidity
1-3 yearsProjectAverage fixed-rate CDB
3-5 yearsProtectionIPCA Treasury
5 yearsRetirementLong IPCA / fixed-rate

About durationThe longer the duration, the greater the sensitivity of the price to changes in the Selic rate. If you expect the Selic to fall, long bonds appreciate in value; if you expect it to rise, prefer short maturities.

For financial protection and organization strategies, it's also worth checking out materials on emergency financial reserve and quick booking in how to build up a reserve quickly.

Quick tips to protect real returns on fixed income with a high Selic rate

  • Prioritize bonds that pay above inflation if you want to preserve purchasing power.
  • Have a emergency reserve in Selic Treasury or CDB with daily liquidity.
  • Divide deadlines with laddering to take advantage of future rates.
  • Compare feesmanagement and performance reduce real earnings - see how to make interest work in your favor at interest strategies.
  • Consider IPCA Treasury for long-term targets (pays inflation real interest) - details at Treasury Direct.
  • Always calculate IR, You can find out more about custody fees and costs before you apply.
  • Re-evaluate your portfolio when Selic or inflation change significantly.

If you want to make a quick comparison with savings and understand when it still makes sense, take a look at the texts on savings e emergency savings.

Conclusion: Is Fixed Income Still Worth It With the Selic on the Rise?

Is fixed income still worthwhile with the Selic rate on the rise? Yes. Selic high makes fixed income more attractive, especially products post-fixed as Selic Treasury and many CDBs. However, nominal interest is not enough: focus on the real income after inflation, taxes and fees.

To use laddering, prioritize liquidity for emergencies and make the most of it LCI/LCA when the IR exemption pays off. Diversify and revise your portfolio according to changes in the Selic rate or inflation.

Want practicality now? Opt for Selic Treasury. Want long-term gain? Consider IPCA Treasury and other Treasury Direct securities or fixed-rate bonds with an attractive real interest rate.

Read more and adjust your decisions at: https://aprendersobrefinancas.com

Is Fixed Income Still Worth It With the Selic on the Rise?

Yes. A high Selic rate makes fixed income more attractive; you get higher interest rates with less risk.

How does the high Selic rate affect my fixed income investments?

Increases bond yields post-fixed; fixed-rate securities can lose market value.

Which fixed income options are best now?

Selic Treasury e Post-fixed CDBs are good for liquidity and security; LCI/LCA are worth the IR exemption if the term is compatible. For alternatives and a broader allocation, see where to invest in 2025.

Should I migrate completely from variable income for fixed income with a high Selic?

Not necessary. Adjust the allocation according to your risk profile and objectives; use fixed income to protect part of your assets. For those starting out, we recommend reading beginner's guide.

How do I protect my money from inflation in fixed income?

Search IPCA Treasury or securities/structures that pay a real return; always calculate the impact of taxes and fees.

If you want to study other alternatives and strategies, also explore the content on ESG investments, equities and the stock exchange in Stock Exchange and how to start investing with little how to get started with R$100.

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Jeferson Santos

Olá! Sou Jeferson Santos, bacharel em Tecnologia da Informação e investidor há 6 anos em ações, fundos imobiliários e renda fixa. Comecei com R$100 e, aplicando análise e disciplina, consegui crescer meu patrimônio em mais de 80% — e conquistar a liberdade financeira que tanto busquei. Criei o Aprender sobre Finanças para compartilhar o que aprendi na prática, sem enrolação e sem promessas irreais. Aqui você encontra conteúdo real, de quem realmente investe.

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